Preparing for a Mass Patient Move
How the University of Texas Medical Branch predicted an effective relocation for 185 patients
- Troubleshoot potential problems
- Evaluate delay times and bottlenecks
- Optimize staffing hours
- Observe how one unit’s delay would affect other units
- Discovered the optimal number of move teams (5)
- Predicted end times for the move based on scenarios with varying delay probabilities
- Saved time for 15-25 move staff and additional hospital staff by finishing early
- Now have a skeleton model for future scenarios
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To help with this task, UTMB chose FlexSim HC to create a 3D simulation model of the move conditions. Building the model helped them identify any potential problems that could occur during the move and allowed them to study possible solutions to these problems—all within a risk-free virtual environment. The model also helped them determine the optimal number of staff members needed for the move and predict how long the move would actually take.
Solving problems before they arise
Since the completion time could vary based on delays, UTMB considered a wide range of impediments that could be experienced during the move. Using data gathered from several practice moves, they were able to see delays and bottlenecks at every stage in the journey, and even see how delay in one unit would affect other units and the total move time. What did they learn? The move could be completed in six hours and five minutes with no delays, with the model predicting alternate finish times based on several delayed scenarios.
Maximizing valuable human resources
Since staff time is the main resource UTMB would expend during the move, it was critical to find the right number of move teams. These teams consisted of transportation and equipment staff led by either a physician and a nurse (for critical patients) or two nurses (for non-critical patients). UTMB experimented with different configurations and found that five teams were ideal for the situation. Simulations run in FlexSim HC showed that, while four teams could have handled the move, five teams ensured there would be no down time.
Predicting a successful outcome
The actual move started at 7:00 AM and was completed at 1:35 PM, just six hours and thirty-five minutes from when it began. This was consistent with the model’s predicted finish time of between 1:15 PM and 1:39 PM based on a 3-4% delay, which resulted from patients not being ready; fortunately, they had already considered delay probabilities for the move which didn’t actually occur. Besides validating the move plan and predicting the final time, this model has several additional and important benefits. First, by finishing early, working hours were saved for the several dozen staff members involved in the move, as well as the staff at the new building who were asked to work a double shift. And UTMB now has the skeleton of an accurate model of their system that can be used in future situations.